Today's picks
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Eagles −3.5
−110Opening: −2.5
Over 48.5
−115Opening: 47
49ers ML
−145Community pick
Latest Articles
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Model update
Dec 8, 2024
Why our EPA-weighted efficiency model has outperformed closing line value this season
We rebuilt our offensive efficiency weights in week 8 and the results have been significant. This breakdown explains the methodology shift and what it means for the rest of the season.
Analysis
Dec 7, 2024
The Bills offensive line problem is worse than PFF grades suggest
Using pressure rate, time-to-throw, and scramble frequency data to quantify how Buffalo's O-line issues should affect their spread pricing heading into playoff positioning games.
Model update
Dec 6, 2024
Introducing our weather adjustment model — wind, temperature, and total suppression
After a frustrating over loss in a surprise wind game in week 11, we built a live weather adjustment layer. Here's how it works and how to use it in your process.